Crude oil prices kicked off the week on a positive note, driven by fresh economic data from China that signals stronger energy demand. Brent crude is now trading at $73.11 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) stands at $70.07 per barrel both showing moderate gains from last Friday’s close.
The boost comes after China’s latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report showed a rise to 50.2 in February, up from 49.1 in January. This means the country’s manufacturing sector is growing again, fuelling optimism that China one of the world’s largest oil consumers will need more crude in the coming months.
Global Factors Driving Oil Prices
Apart from China’s stronger-than-expected economic performance, other global events are also shaping the oil market.
- US-Ukraine Tensions: A recent clash between President Donald Trump and Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has raised doubts about a possible peace deal. The ongoing war has affected energy markets, especially with the sanctions on Russian oil. Analysts from ING Bank noted, “The situation remains uncertain, making it hard to predict how oil supply from Russia will be affected.”
- US Trade Policies: Traders are also watching closely as the United States considers tariffs on oil imports from Canada and Mexico. This could disrupt supply chains, given that Canada supplies almost two-thirds of the US’s imported crude oil.
- Russian Refinery Attack: Over the weekend, Ukraine launched another drone attack on a Russian refinery, raising fresh concerns about supply disruptions. Whenever oil supply is threatened, prices tend to go up as traders anticipate shortages.
Impact on Nigeria’s Oil Sector
For Nigeria, higher oil prices are a double-edged sword. On one hand, rising crude prices mean more foreign exchange earnings for the country, which depends heavily on oil exports. However, since Nigeria still imports refined petrol, an increase in crude prices could also push up fuel costs locally.
At the moment, the Nigerian government and major oil marketers are monitoring the market closely. If oil prices remain high, it could put more pressure on the Dangote Refinery, which recently cut petrol prices to ₦825 per litre. Experts say that a sustained rise in crude oil prices could affect fuel pricing strategies in Nigeria’s downstream sector.
What’s Next?
With China’s economy showing signs of recovery and geopolitical tensions still in play, oil prices may continue their upward trend in the coming days. However, traders will also be watching for any new developments, especially OPEC’s next move and possible changes in US energy policies.
For now, Nigeria’s oil-dependent economy stands to benefit from increased revenues, but consumers should brace for potential fuel price adjustments shortly.
